Kashmiris have always sacrificed their land and homes to ensure a bright future for Pakistan. Mangla Dam is its most evident example. Water flow is minimum, thus converting the river into a narrow nullah. But, excess supply of Chlorine will offset the benefit of the same and hence improvement in the EBITDA margin would be restricted to 100 200 bps for the next two years, as against earlier expectations of over 400bps improvement. Besides Chlorine impact, increase in the cost of production (price of rock phosphate and an increase in power and fuel costs) would also weigh on operating performance. We expect EBITDA to grow at 15% CAGR during FY17 FY19E, with a margin in the range of 22 23%.

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